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Will France win on 2026-10-02?

Implied probability 68%−2
24-hour volume$80k
Total volume$94k
Liquidity$408k
Resolves2 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will France win on 2026-10-02?
0%50%100%68%1 Oct, 13:06 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now68%
2 Oct, 04:46 UTC68%
1 Oct, 15:27 UTC69%
1 Oct, 13:06 UTC70%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

France must win the match scheduled for October 2, 2026, within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves based on the official final result recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Readers often mistake the linked budget news for the relevant event, but this market depends solely on the specific game played on the stated date.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 68%
  • No 33%

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