FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
Implied probability 3%+1
24-hour volume$637
Total volume$57k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 21:36 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 11:01 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 01:01 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the FCC officially announces the revocation, cancellation, or non-renewal of a broadcast license for a full-power ABC, CBS, NBC, or Fox station by December 31, 2026. The announcement must clearly state that the action is decided and communicated through official FCC channels.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%
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