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Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros

Implied probability 42%+4
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$346k
Resolves7 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −4 points at 00:40 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Wild Card Series Game 1 winners, losers: Austin Riley plays hero, White Sox start strong (with help from Pope) — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
0%50%100%42%29 Sept, 00:40 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now42%
30 Sept, 01:08 UTC42%
30 Sept, 00:40 UTC41%
29 Sept, 00:40 UTC45%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Chicago White Sox if they win the game and to Houston Astros if they win. The outcome depends on the official final statistics recognized by MLB, not just the headline result of a single playoff matchup. Readers often mistake the linked story about a Wild Card game for the actual event, but this market is tied specifically to the regular-season game scheduled for September 30.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Chicago White Sox 42%
  • Houston Astros 59%

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