Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
The market favoured Under at 63% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$76k
Total volume$79k
Liquidity$110k
Resolved17 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 42% |
| 16 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 38% |
What counts
The Over outcome requires Newcastle United and Aston Villa to score a combined total of four or more goals during regular play plus stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their combined goal count is three or fewer. Readers most often mistake the deadline, assuming extra time or penalties count toward the total when only the first 90 minutes plus added time matter.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 0%
- Under 100%
View this market on Polymarket →