Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
Implied probability 97%+1
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$187k
Liquidity$40k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 22 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 97% |
| 21 Sept, 18:45 UTC | 96% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu physically enters any of New York City's five boroughs before September 30 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not enter the city within that timeframe or only transits through its airspace or territorial waters. Readers often mistake landing at a local airport for a visit, but he must leave the airport for it to count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%
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