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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Implied probability 26%−20
24-hour volume$156k
Total volume$516k
Liquidity$89k
Resolves22 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −34 points at 18:55 UTC, after www.espn.com: Follow live: Rays take on Guardians as series shifts to Cleveland — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
0%50%100%26%14 Oct, 16:28 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now26%
15 Oct, 18:55 UTC27%
15 Oct, 18:27 UTC61%
15 Oct, 17:53 UTC34%
15 Oct, 17:25 UTC43%
15 Oct, 16:29 UTC47%
14 Oct, 16:28 UTC46%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Tampa Bay Rays if they win the game, and to Cleveland Guardians if they win. If the game is postponed, it stays open until completion. Readers often mistake the weather-related headline for a cancellation that triggers a 50-50 split.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Tampa Bay Rays 26%
  • Cleveland Guardians 75%

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