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Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5

Implied probability 47%−8
24-hour volume$20k
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$211k
Resolves22 Sept 2026

Why it moved: −4 points at 20:04 UTC, after SI Feed: Red Sox's Unexpected Playoff X-Factor No One Saw Coming — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5
0%50%100%47%21 Sept, 18:45 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now47%
22 Sept, 20:04 UTC47%
22 Sept, 18:58 UTC50%
21 Sept, 18:45 UTC50%

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What counts

The market resolves to "Over" if the Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox score a combined total of 7 or more runs during their game on September 22. It resolves to "Under" if their combined run total is less than 7. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Red Sox clinching a playoff berth as relevant to this market, but only the final run count from this specific game matters.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Over 47%
  • Under 54%

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