Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?
Implied probability 80%+1
24-hour volume$265k
Total volume$282k
Liquidity$2.2M
Resolves21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 80% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 80% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 81% |
| 21 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 80% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 79% |
| 19 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 78% |
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Real Madrid wins the match scheduled for October 21, 2026, and "No" otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final full-time score or extra time results as the deciding factor.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 80%
- No 21%
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