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Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Implied probability 16%−3
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$245k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
0%50%100%16%14 Oct, 09:58 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now16%
21 Oct, 01:10 UTC16%
20 Oct, 23:34 UTC17%
20 Oct, 23:14 UTC16%
20 Oct, 20:10 UTC14%
20 Oct, 19:41 UTC15%
20 Oct, 19:21 UTC16%
20 Oct, 18:45 UTC15%
20 Oct, 17:39 UTC16%
20 Oct, 17:24 UTC16%
20 Oct, 16:27 UTC18%
20 Oct, 15:51 UTC19%
20 Oct, 15:23 UTC19%
20 Oct, 14:40 UTC20%
20 Oct, 13:45 UTC19%
20 Oct, 13:13 UTC20%
20 Oct, 12:39 UTC19%
20 Oct, 12:16 UTC20%
20 Oct, 11:55 UTC21%
20 Oct, 10:35 UTC20%
20 Oct, 08:15 UTC19%
20 Oct, 07:29 UTC17%
20 Oct, 06:36 UTC21%
20 Oct, 06:02 UTC22%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC19%
19 Oct, 01:20 UTC32%
18 Oct, 23:36 UTC33%
18 Oct, 23:22 UTC31%
18 Oct, 22:56 UTC32%
18 Oct, 22:14 UTC28%
18 Oct, 20:34 UTC28%
18 Oct, 20:27 UTC28%
18 Oct, 18:36 UTC28%
18 Oct, 18:29 UTC30%
18 Oct, 17:52 UTC31%
18 Oct, 17:10 UTC26%
18 Oct, 16:38 UTC26%
18 Oct, 15:59 UTC32%
18 Oct, 15:29 UTC32%
18 Oct, 14:13 UTC33%
18 Oct, 13:23 UTC32%
18 Oct, 12:55 UTC32%
18 Oct, 12:21 UTC34%
18 Oct, 11:19 UTC30%
18 Oct, 10:59 UTC31%
18 Oct, 08:14 UTC32%
18 Oct, 07:55 UTC30%
18 Oct, 07:28 UTC31%
18 Oct, 06:43 UTC34%
18 Oct, 06:23 UTC33%
18 Oct, 05:49 UTC34%
18 Oct, 05:24 UTC35%
18 Oct, 04:50 UTC35%
18 Oct, 04:18 UTC34%
18 Oct, 03:57 UTC34%
18 Oct, 02:31 UTC34%
18 Oct, 02:04 UTC37%
18 Oct, 01:49 UTC35%
17 Oct, 23:58 UTC36%
17 Oct, 23:22 UTC32%
17 Oct, 19:44 UTC28%
17 Oct, 19:18 UTC26%
17 Oct, 18:57 UTC28%
17 Oct, 18:10 UTC27%
17 Oct, 16:45 UTC25%
17 Oct, 10:47 UTC24%
17 Oct, 10:06 UTC23%
17 Oct, 09:59 UTC23%
17 Oct, 08:59 UTC23%
17 Oct, 07:54 UTC23%
17 Oct, 06:34 UTC22%
17 Oct, 05:02 UTC23%
17 Oct, 04:30 UTC22%
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17 Oct, 03:49 UTC23%
17 Oct, 03:10 UTC22%
17 Oct, 02:49 UTC23%
17 Oct, 01:23 UTC23%
17 Oct, 00:10 UTC23%
16 Oct, 23:50 UTC23%
16 Oct, 23:23 UTC23%
16 Oct, 22:30 UTC20%
16 Oct, 22:23 UTC22%
16 Oct, 21:49 UTC24%
16 Oct, 21:23 UTC21%
16 Oct, 20:55 UTC21%
16 Oct, 20:28 UTC21%
16 Oct, 19:41 UTC20%
16 Oct, 18:52 UTC20%
16 Oct, 18:17 UTC22%
16 Oct, 17:36 UTC21%
16 Oct, 17:29 UTC22%
16 Oct, 16:53 UTC22%
16 Oct, 16:20 UTC22%
16 Oct, 15:38 UTC22%
16 Oct, 14:38 UTC23%
16 Oct, 12:49 UTC22%
16 Oct, 11:37 UTC23%
16 Oct, 11:09 UTC23%
16 Oct, 10:35 UTC23%
16 Oct, 10:28 UTC23%
16 Oct, 09:54 UTC24%
16 Oct, 09:26 UTC22%
16 Oct, 08:59 UTC20%
16 Oct, 08:27 UTC20%
16 Oct, 07:46 UTC21%
16 Oct, 06:56 UTC19%
16 Oct, 05:55 UTC20%
16 Oct, 05:28 UTC22%
16 Oct, 04:49 UTC19%
16 Oct, 04:29 UTC19%
16 Oct, 03:43 UTC21%
16 Oct, 03:29 UTC20%
16 Oct, 02:16 UTC23%
16 Oct, 01:42 UTC23%
16 Oct, 00:48 UTC23%
16 Oct, 00:09 UTC19%
15 Oct, 22:29 UTC19%
15 Oct, 21:41 UTC20%
15 Oct, 21:27 UTC21%
15 Oct, 20:24 UTC20%
15 Oct, 19:35 UTC20%
15 Oct, 19:28 UTC19%
15 Oct, 18:55 UTC21%
15 Oct, 18:27 UTC25%
15 Oct, 17:46 UTC29%
15 Oct, 17:25 UTC18%
15 Oct, 16:56 UTC16%
15 Oct, 16:29 UTC16%
15 Oct, 10:13 UTC14%
14 Oct, 13:40 UTC12%
14 Oct, 12:47 UTC13%
14 Oct, 11:31 UTC12%
14 Oct, 11:24 UTC12%
14 Oct, 09:58 UTC12%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The Yes outcome triggers if Edi Rama stops being Albania's Prime Minister at any point before December 31, 2026, or if he announces his resignation or removal before that deadline. The No outcome applies if he remains in office for the entire period without such an announcement.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 16%
  • No 84%

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