Spread: Burkina Faso (-5.5)
Implied probability 0%−47
24-hour volume$403k
Total volume$403k
Liquidity$36k
Resolves3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 22:16 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 49% |
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What counts
Burkina Faso wins if they beat Argentina by six goals or more in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Argentina wins if Burkina Faso does not achieve that margin. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the result depends on extra time or penalties rather than just regular play.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Burkina Faso 0%
- Argentina 100%
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