Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
Why it moved: +33 points at 17:57 UTC, after ABC News: Morocco's king appoints the country's first woman prime minister — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 17:56 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
For the Yes outcome, Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri must become Prime Minister and win a confidence vote in the House of Representatives after the September 2026 elections. The No outcome applies if someone else wins that specific post and vote. Readers often mistake any interim appointment or news headline for a final resolution, but only the confirmed government with parliamentary investiture counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%
Trade this market on Polymarket →