Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 14?
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Why it moved: +4 points at 04:27 UTC, after CoinDesk: Solana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 14 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 100% |
| 14 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 15:06 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 12:06 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 09:37 UTC | 100% |
| 14 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 07:43 UTC | 98% |
| 14 Oct, 07:23 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 99% |
| 13 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 96% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at noon ET on October 14 has a final close price above $100. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly check prices from other exchanges or trading pairs instead of Binance's specific SOL/USDT data.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →