Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Implied probability 21%−20
24-hour volume$599k
Total volume$602k
Liquidity$38k
Resolves20 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 30% |
| 12 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 40% |
| 11 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 41% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Cleveland Guardians outcome resolves if they win the scheduled MLB game on October 12 at 8:00 PM ET. The Tampa Bay Rays outcome resolves if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the linked ALDS story for the actual event, but this market depends solely on the result of the specific October 12 matchup.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians 21%
- Tampa Bay Rays 80%
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