Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Why it moved: +44 points at 20:25 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Will elections bring change to multi-ethnic Bosnia and Herzegovina? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 51% |
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What counts
For Yes to resolve, Darijana Filipović must be officially elected as the Croat member of the Presidency following the October 4, 2026 general election. For No to resolve, someone else must hold that specific seat after the election. Readers often mistake interim or caretaker members for valid outcomes, but only a permanently elected member counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%
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