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Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

Implied probability 32%−16
24-hour volume$471k
Total volume$473k
Liquidity$145k
Resolves14 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −23 points at 20:22 UTC, after SI Feed: Guardians Need a Drastic Offensive Shift to Survive White Sox — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
0%50%100%32%6 Oct, 08:39 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now32%
7 Oct, 20:36 UTC34%
7 Oct, 20:22 UTC24%
7 Oct, 16:42 UTC47%
7 Oct, 15:34 UTC48%
7 Oct, 15:24 UTC47%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC49%
6 Oct, 08:39 UTC48%

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What counts

The market resolves to Cleveland Guardians if they win the game and to Chicago White Sox if they win. It stays open if postponed but closes immediately if canceled or tied. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past series sweep for the current game's result.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Cleveland Guardians 32%
  • Chicago White Sox 69%

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