Week of 31 Aug 2026

Biggest stories

1. Mathematicians challenge OpenAI over AI breakthrough and demand safety rules 27 publishers · 6 Sept
2. Trump heads to Dallas for GOP midterm convention amid election strategy shifts 22 publishers · 6 Sept
3. OpenAI Delays IPO to 2027 Amid AI Safety Concerns 21 publishers · 6 Sept
4. AfD wins record share in Saxony-Anhalt election, sparking protests across Germany 18 publishers · 6 Sept
5. Trump Urges Zelenskyy to Halt Diesel Refinery Strikes as Peace Push Continues 17 publishers · 6 Sept
6. Sen. John Fetterman makes surprise video appearance at GOP convention, sparking Democratic backlash 10 publishers · 6 Sept
7. Five Killed as Amazon Cargo Plane Overshoots Runway at Miami Airport 10 publishers · 6 Sept
8. Trump Administration Announces Pentagon Stake in Venezuelan Oil Deal 7 publishers · 6 Sept

Biggest swings

Markets on our stories whose odds covered the widest range during the week.

No big swings.

Close calls the market got right

No contested calls resolved.

Favourites that lost

Every favourite won.