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Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability 14%+9
24-hour volume$45k
Total volume$181k
Liquidity$50k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
0%50%100%14%17 Sept, 04:11 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now14%
19 Sept, 13:24 UTC14%
19 Sept, 12:52 UTC14%
19 Sept, 12:21 UTC14%
19 Sept, 11:55 UTC13%
19 Sept, 11:19 UTC14%
19 Sept, 10:59 UTC13%
19 Sept, 10:27 UTC10%
19 Sept, 09:37 UTC9%
19 Sept, 08:59 UTC10%
19 Sept, 08:09 UTC10%
18 Sept, 05:25 UTC5%
18 Sept, 04:59 UTC5%
18 Sept, 04:13 UTC5%
18 Sept, 03:59 UTC5%
18 Sept, 03:26 UTC5%
18 Sept, 02:54 UTC5%
18 Sept, 02:25 UTC5%
18 Sept, 01:59 UTC5%
18 Sept, 01:23 UTC4%
18 Sept, 00:35 UTC4%
18 Sept, 00:22 UTC4%
17 Sept, 23:35 UTC4%
17 Sept, 23:16 UTC4%
17 Sept, 22:50 UTC4%
17 Sept, 22:21 UTC4%
17 Sept, 21:48 UTC5%
17 Sept, 21:12 UTC7%
17 Sept, 20:59 UTC7%
17 Sept, 20:28 UTC7%
17 Sept, 19:57 UTC8%
17 Sept, 19:28 UTC8%
17 Sept, 18:56 UTC7%
17 Sept, 18:28 UTC2%
17 Sept, 17:55 UTC2%
17 Sept, 16:54 UTC2%
17 Sept, 14:23 UTC1%
17 Sept, 13:36 UTC2%
17 Sept, 13:21 UTC1%
17 Sept, 09:55 UTC2%
17 Sept, 09:02 UTC2%
17 Sept, 08:44 UTC2%
17 Sept, 04:11 UTC0%

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Outcomes

  • Yes 14%
  • No 86%

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