Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
Implied probability 77%−4
24-hour volume$20k
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 22:06 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 21:00 UTC | 78% |
| 13 Sept, 20:48 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 76% |
| 12 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 81% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
Outcomes
- Yes 77%
- No 23%
Trade this market on Polymarket →