Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
Implied probability 31%−8
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves30 Jun 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 31% |
| 19 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 31% |
| 18 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 38% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
Outcomes
- Yes 31%
- No 70%
Trade this market on Polymarket →