Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026?
The market favoured No at 65% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$0
Resolved19 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 19 Sept, 12:33 UTC | 100% |
| 19 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 100% |
| 18 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 72% |
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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