Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
Implied probability 32%+4
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 32% |
| 13 Sept, 03:58 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Sept, 21:51 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Sept, 21:13 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Sept, 20:59 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 27% |
Outcomes
- Yes 32%
- No 69%
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